PFM (Fiscal Space Ring-Fencing) (Amendment) Bill 2026
The Public Finance Management (Fiscal Space Ring-Fencing) (Amendment) Bill, 2026 — A Bill for an Act of Parliament to amend the Public Finance Management Act, 2012, to ring-fence fiscal space generated from public debt restructuring, pending-bill audit disallowances, and asset recoveries; prescribe mandatory allocation ratios for debt retirement, appraised capital infrastructure, and performance-linked county transfers; prohibit the expansion of recurrent expenditure; and for connected purposes.
Without a statutory ring-fence, fiscal space freed by debt restructuring and pending-bill audits is routinely absorbed by supplementary appropriations for recurrent allowances, administrative overhead, and bloated public-sector wage bills. Section 15 of the PFM Act, 2012 and its 2015 Regulations already mandate a 30% development budget floor and a 35% personnel-emoluments ceiling, yet both have been systematically breached because freed cash flows into the general Consolidated Fund without legally binding destination locks. This draft inserts a binding 50/30/20 Fiscal Dividend Allocation Rule and a zero-recurrent-bloat guardrail directly into Part II of the PFM Act (Cap. 412A), anchored to the Public Investment Management (PIM) Regulations, 2022 (Legal Notice No. 54 of 2022) and the Division of Revenue framework, to lock in KSh 1.85 trillion of freed fiscal space over ten years.
Key Provisions(6)
- 01
Section 15A — Determination and certification of freed fiscal space
"Freed fiscal space" means net annual budgetary savings against the pre-reform baseline debt-service and arrears schedule, arising from principal write-downs, interest-rate reductions or maturity reprofiling of external syndicated and bilateral loans; statutory disallowance of unverified or fraudulent pending bills after Auditor-General forensic audit; and compounding domestic interest savings from reduced Treasury bill and bond issuance. The Parliamentary Budget Office and the Controller of Budget jointly certify the shilling quantum not later than 30 days before the Budget Policy Statement under section 25.
- 02
Section 15B — Mandatory 50–30–20 statutory allocation formula
Every shilling of certified freed fiscal space is split: 50% to sovereign debt principal retirement, swept into the Sovereign Debt Redemption Account at the CBK (POCAMLA s.112A) to retire high-cost domestic securities until total public debt falls below 50% of nominal GDP; 30% to high-return national capital infrastructure meeting the s.15C thresholds; and 20% to performance-linked county capital transfers under Article 202(2), over and above the baseline unconditional equitable share. Section 15B(2) bans any allocation, reallocation or viring of 0% of freed fiscal space toward national or county recurrent expenditure — salaries, sitting or travel allowances, hospitality, motor vehicles or administrative overheads — in either the annual Appropriation Act or any Supplementary Appropriation Act.
- 03
Section 15C — Gatekeeping for the 30% infrastructure tranche
No capital funds are released unless the project has completed pre-feasibility, feasibility and independent technical appraisal under the PIM Regulations, 2022 and is logged in PIMIS; demonstrates a verified Economic Internal Rate of Return of at least 12% with a positive Net Present Value certified by the Parliamentary Budget Office; falls within priority productive sectors (bulk water and irrigation, electricity transmission and grid reliability, rural agricultural feeder roads, cold-chain agro-processing, export logistics); and prioritises completion of stalled, physically verified projects at 50%+ completion before any new greenfield start. Every shilling is ring-fenced in a project-specific CBK escrow account, released only against independent quantity-surveying certificates verified by the Office of the Auditor-General.
- 04
Section 15D — Performance conditions for the 20% county tranche
A county draws its share only if the Controller of Budget and the Auditor-General certify that in the preceding year it spent at least 30% of total budget on capital development (s.107(2)(b)); held personnel emoluments at or below 35% of total county revenue (s.107(2)(c)); accumulated zero new unverified pending bills and followed an approved clearance schedule; and achieved own-source revenue growth of at least 5% or met its CRA fiscal-effort target. Withheld allocations are held in escrow for 12 months pending remediation and then revert automatically to the Sovereign Debt Redemption Account — never to county recurrent budgets.
- 05
Section 15E — Statutory cap on recurrent expenditure growth
For the ten-year fiscal consolidation period, total national government non-interest recurrent expenditure (excluding constitutional pensions and primary healthcare/basic education capitation) faces a 0% real growth ceiling. No new state corporation, semi-autonomous agency, taskforce or commission may be created unless funded by abolition and merger of duplicated agencies yielding at least 20% net recurrent saving. Under Article 228(4)–(5), the Controller of Budget shall refuse to authorize any withdrawal breaching ss.15B–15E, and any Accounting Officer submitting such a requisition commits financial misconduct under section 197.
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Why these guardrails prevent fiscal slippage
Neutralising the supplementary-budget escape hatch: s.15B(2) binds both annual and supplementary Appropriation Acts while s.15E(3) empowers the Controller of Budget to block exchequer releases at the payment gate. Stopping white-elephant projects: PIM clearance, the 12% EIRR floor and completion of stalled works before new starts keep the 30% tranche from fragmenting into politically motivated, uncompleted projects. Fixing county indiscipline: the 20% bonus tranche (KSh 37B/year) is strictly conditional on PFM s.107(2) ratios, with forfeited shares redirected automatically into national debt retirement.
| Statutory Tranche | Share | 10-Year Cumulative | Average Annual | Binding Legal Purpose & Anti-Bloat Lock |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Sovereign Debt Principal Retirement (PFM s.15B(1)(a)) | 50% | KSh 925.0 B | KSh 92.5 B / yr | Swept into the CBK Sovereign Debt Redemption Account (POCAMLA s.112A) to retire 13.2% domestic T-bonds/T-bills, pulling Kenya below the 50% Debt-to-GDP cap without issuing new debt. |
| 2. High-Return National Capital Infrastructure (PFM s.15B(1)(b) & 15C) | 30% | KSh 555.0 B | KSh 55.5 B / yr | Restricted to PIM-appraised projects with EIRR ≥ 12% in irrigation, bulk water, power transmission, rural feeder roads, and cold-chain logistics; finishes viable stalled works first. |
| 3. Performance-Linked County Capital Grants (PFM s.15B(1)(c) & 15D) | 20% | KSh 370.0 B | KSh 37.0 B / yr | Added on top of the ~KSh 420B–428B baseline equitable share; unlocked only for counties meeting the ≥30% development floor, ≤35% wage cap, and zero new pending bills. |
| 4. National & County Recurrent Overhead (PFM s.15B(2) & 15E) | 0% | KSh 0.0 B | KSh 0.0 B / yr | Hard statutory ban backed by a 0% real growth cap on non-interest recurrent spending and mandatory Controller of Budget ex-ante exchequer blocks under Article 228. |
Source: design/data/budget_rules.md · Draft for parliamentary tabling